Take the under when you're betting politics

But we're here to buck the cultural trend

No one in this world, so far as I know—and I have researched the records for years, and employed agents to help me—has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby.

H. L. Mencken (1926)

In the roughly ninety-eight years since Mencken wrote those words, things ha…